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Currency Strenght

Tuesday, 13 March 2012

Is there a shift taking place ?




The U.S. dollar is becoming more and more attractive. With QE3 being shelved

Over the past few months the U.S. dollar traded primarily on risk appetite. I believe they would sell the dollar and by risker assest. So as the S&P 500 or the dow rose the dolla would sell off. However, i believe something has fundamentally changed. The us dollar has started to take notice of the improvements in the us economy by rising on good data and sliding on weakness. Today the reaction and Optimism from the FOMC sent the dollar soaring, against all major currency. Now tell me if I’m wrong in thinking whether or not we are seeing a fundamental shift in how the dollar is trading

Japan

Shirakawa said “The task of overcoming deflation and achieving sustainable economic growth with price stability cannot be realized overnight. The issue of beating deflation is strongly related to how growth potential should be strengthened and patient effort is needed to tackle this problem. The BOJ will continue to do the best we can as a central bank. At the same time, I strongly expect that parties concerned such as companies, financial institutions and the government will do their utmost while fully recognizing the importance of strengthening growth potential. In managing policy, we must ensure that the economy is headed toward a path of sustainable growth and price stability. Given that the cause of deflation is structural problems such as Japan's low growth potential, we cannot expect to achieve our goal immediately." So has the Jap tactics changed also is forcing on growth and will this allow for a weaker yen? Instead of relying on intervention which has proven woefully ineffective in weakening the yen, the Japanese monetary authorities are looking at QE as a much viable policy tool to control any appreciation of the currency.” And if this is the case then the yen will weaken as proved with other countries that has introduced this method so in effect  The central bank’s plans for continued easy monetary policy has made the Yen less attractive especially on a day when the FOMC statement suggests that more QE in U.S. is no longer necessary.



Pls tell me what you think

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