Economic Calendar


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Currency Strenght

Thursday 28 February 2013

TimelessFX News and Charts


Fact:

Germany unemployment change + Unemployment Rate came out worse than expected
Unemployment change Actual:-3k Consensus -5k Pervious -14k
Unemployment Rate: Actual:6.9% consensus 6.8% Previous 6.9%

Means:

Eurusd + the DAX have fallen on the back of the worse than expected unemployment report .
Will the bearish move continue today after the rallies we saw in both Eur/USD , and the DAX yesterday
News The potential of negative interest rates is still HOT topic Today as analysis are trying to still Grasp the idea of negative interest rates

Means:

If negative interest rates were to occur this would mean the central bank would charge High street
Banks to hold their Money rather than paying them the 0.5% base rate


4hr Time Frame


Wednesday 27 February 2013

The Bank of England

Uk GDP Figures are set to be released today at 9.30am Q4
Actual -0.3
Major news:
The Bank of England is considering the extraordinary idea of negative interest rates
Major major major

Tuesday 26 February 2013

Political deadlock

Political deadlock has gripped eurozone their largest economy after an inconclusive election
result
What this means: it was the worst possible outcome feared by policy makers and market participants alike
Italy is now facing political gridlock in new elections
News fact
BP has been accused of putting profits before safety on the first day of a trial in New Orleans over the oil spill in 2010
Act smartly build your case

Sunday 24 February 2013

Eurusd Poseidon View b4 and After

Daily

Four Hour View With Sniper Zones
and after


Enters the Sniper Zone for a clean shot

Monday 18 February 2013

Euro News



Fact

Significant amount of data coming out of the eurozone
Euro/Zone is Centre of attention this week amid a flurry of Economic data and the
 Start to a final week of election campaigning in Italy

Means


G-20 Nations declared this weekend that there would be ‘No Currency War’ and deferred plans to
Set new debt cutting target over concerns about the global
Economy
New fact horse 
 Summary:
·         Yen can do what they like
·         Gold $30 dropped
·  
·         Euro GDP significantly negative
·         Mario monti In the running for the for the seat
·         Berlusconi not seen as a natural political figure  key election if he win negative
·         Tesco shares declined last week after the horse meat scandal escalated will we see recovery 

Sunday 17 February 2013

DAX MIX

 Watch for reaction within the sniper zone

 ideas  SHORT positions below 7650 with 7560 & 7535 in sight.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 7650 will call for 7691 & 7735.

Comment: the RSI is mixed to bearish.

Trend: ST Consolidation; MT Bullish

also



The DAX had a negative week over the last five sessions, but remains consolidating above the 7600 level. We recently broken out from the 7500 level and we believe that this last two weeks have simply been the market taking a rest before its next move higher. Looking at the charts, there’s nothing to think that this market is going to suddenly reverse, and the recent action has certainly been very bullish, going all the way back to this past summer. On a break above the 7800 level, we think that this is a screening buy and would become aggressively long. We also would be buying a pullback that shows some type of support between 7500 and 7600.

S&P 500 Outlook Charts












Dow Jones Industrial Average

 Mergers and acquisitions
The big news this week was the Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-B  ) acquisition, by way of a joint venture with 3G Capital, of H.J. Heinz for $28 billion. That figure represented a 20% premium to what Heinz shares were trading for before the buyout announcement. Warren Buffett has been telling investors for quite a while that his elephant gun was loaded, and this purchase was probably the big game he'd been hunting. But it's also been suggested that because of the Berkshire-3G partnership, Buffett could have money left to make another big purchase in the near future.
The other major merger this week was the US Airways-American Airlines union, which, like the Berkshire-Heinz move, was also announced on Thursday. But unlike the Berkshire purchase, this potential deal was no secret to the markets, and many expected that it would happen. The new company will now be the world's largest airline and control a number of key hubs both within and outside the United States.  
Joint ventures
There were three joint ventures involving Dow stocks this week that grabbed my attention. The first was the American Express-Twitter collaboration. AmEx cardholders can now link their card to a Twitter account and make purchases using the social-media platform by simply sending a tweet. While it will take time to see if this service gains any traction with consumers, I was an instant fan simply because of how simple this feature will make purchasing an item. 
Another big partnership, announced earlier in the week, was that Alcoa (NYSE: AA  ) in a roundabout way, will now be partners with the Chinese government. On Thursday, CITIC Group purchased a 13% stake in an Australian company called Alumina, which owns 40% of a company called Alcoa World Aluminum & Chemicals, of which the other 60% is owned by Alcoa. The Chinese government comes into play because CITIC Group is a state-owned entity. In most cases, partnering with the government is a good thing, and I believe that in the long run, this move will turn out well for Alcoa shareholders. 
The last item has yet to be officially announced, but the possible joint venture betweenHewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ  ) and Google's Android operating system grabbed my attention. My Fool colleague Rick Munarriz even marked it as one of his Top 5 Smartest Stock Moves of the Week. A few technology blogs reported this week that the struggling personal-computer manufacturer was gearing up to release a high-end tablet that runs on the Android operating system and that a smartphone may be soon to follow. Anything Hewlett-Packard can do to generate earnings growth will be seen as a positive thing among both shareholders and analysts. 


Breakups
The most noteworthy breakup this week was the announcement that Comcast and General Electric (NYSE: GE  ) agreed to a deal in which Comcast will purchase the outstanding 49% of NBCUniversal, which General Electric owned, for $16.7 billion. GE sold the first 51% of NBCUniversal to Comcast in 2009 for $13.8 billion and will now own the rest of the unit. This is good for both companies, as NBC fits well with Comcast's other businesses while it clearly was not GE's bread and butter. While both organizations will be better off in the long term because of this deal, Comcast may come out ahead of GE because of the great synergies Comcast can now experience.  
Finally, one true breakup announced early in the week was that JPMorgan Chase and a number of top managers were parting ways. As the company's equity-units revenues fell this past year, so did bonuses. A number of top traders left because of shrinking pay, while the company cut three managing directors and 18 executive directors because of the lower revenue experienced this year.
More insight
Materials industries are traditionally known for their high barriers to entry, and the aluminum industry is no exception. Representing 14.7% of 2011 global production in this highly consolidated industry, Alcoa is in prime position to take advantage of growth that some expect will lead to total industry revenue approaching $160 billion by 2017. Based on this and several other company-specific factors, Alcoa is certainly worth a closer look.

Our preference: SHORT positions below 14000 with 13880 & 13800 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The upside penetration of 14000 will call for 14035 & 14070.

Comment: as long as 14000 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Trend: ST Bullish; MT Bullish

p.s check out 


Leading Dow Jones Industrial Average performers included Coca-Cola, up 1.57%, Walt Disney, up 1.31%, and United Technologies, up 1.18%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average's worst performers included Wal-Mart Stores, down 2.15%, Hewlett-Packard, down 1.35%, and American Express, down 1.07%.

FTSE 100 Wkly OutLook

 Our preference: LONG positions above 6268 with 6330 & 6360 as next targets.

Alternative scenario: The downside penetration of 6268 will call for 6214 & 6170.

Comment : even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.

Trend: ST Bullish; MT Bullish

Weekly Economic Calendar

Weekly Economic Calendar

GMT -5:00, DST Off
TimeCur.EventForecastPrevious
Monday, February 18
HolidayUnited States - Washington's Birthday
09:30EURECB President Draghi Speaks   
18:50JPYMonetary Policy Meeting Minutes   
19:30AUDMonetary Policy Meeting Minutes   
Tuesday, February 19
05:00EURGerman ZEW Economic Sentiment35.031.5 
05:00EURZEW Economic Sentiment35.531.2 
08:30CADForeign Securities Purchases7.21B5.62B 
08:30CADWholesale Sales (MoM)-1.0%0.7% 
12:15CHFSNB Chairman Thomas Jordan speaks   
16:45NZDPPI Input (QoQ) -1.0% 
18:50JPYTrade Balance-0.59T-0.80T 
19:30AUDWage Price Index (QoQ)0.8%0.7% 
Wednesday, February 20
02:00EURGerman CPI (MoM)-0.5%-0.5% 
02:00EURGerman CPI (YoY)1.7%1.7% 
02:45EURFrench CPI (MoM)-0.2%0.3% 
04:30GBPAverage Earnings Index +Bonus1.4%1.5% 
04:30GBPClaimant Count Change-5.0K-12.1K 
04:30GBPMPC Meeting Minutes   
05:30EURGerman 10-Year Bund Auction 1.560% 
08:30USDBuilding Permits0.915M0.909M 
08:30USDCore PPI (MoM)0.2%0.1% 
08:30USDHousing Starts0.925M0.954M 
08:30USDPPI (MoM)0.3%-0.3% 
08:30USDPPI (YoY)1.4%1.3% 
08:30USDCore PPI (YoY)1.6%2.0% 
14:00USDFOMC Meeting Minutes   
Thursday, February 21
02:58EURFrench Manufacturing PMIP43.842.9 
03:28EURGerman Manufacturing PMIP50.549.8 
04:00EURManufacturing PMIP48.447.9 
04:45EURSpanish 10-Year Obligacion Auction 5.290% 
06:00GBPCBI Industrial Trends Orders-15-20 
08:30USDCore CPI (MoM)0.2%0.1% 
08:30USDCPI (MoM)0.1%0.0% 
08:30USDInitial Jobless Claims355K341K 
08:30USDContinuing Jobless Claims3170K3114K 
08:30USDCPI (YoY)1.6%1.7% 
08:30USDCore CPI (YoY)1.8%1.9% 
10:00USDExisting Home Sales4.90M4.94M 
10:00USDPhiladelphia Fed Manufacturing Index1.0-5.8 
17:30AUDRBA Governor Stevens Speaks   
Friday, February 22
02:00EURGerman GDP (QoQ)-0.6%-0.6% 
02:00EURGerman GDP (YoY)0.1%0.1% 
04:00EURGerman Ifo Business Climate Index105.0104.2 
04:00EURGerman Current Assessment108.5108.0 
04:00EURGerman Business Expectations101.3100.5 
08:30CADCore CPI (MoM)0.1%-0.6% 
08:30CADCore Retail Sales (MoM)-0.1%-0.3% 
08:30CADCPI (MoM)0.0%-0.6% 
08:30CADRetail Sales (MoM)-0.8%0.2% 
08:30CADCPI (YoY)1.0%0.8%