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Currency Strenght

Monday 16 July 2012

Bond yields Local Currency An economy that offer higher returns on its bonds attract more investments. This makes its local currency more attractive than that of another economy offering lower returns on its bonds. Dow Nikkei The performance of the U.S. economy is closely tied with Japan. Nikkei USD/JPY Investors consider the yen as a safe-haven and tend to seek it during periods of economic distress.

Also
As we said earlier, in order for someone to invest in a particular stock market, one would need the local currency in order to purchase stocks.
You can imagine what the effect of stock markets like the DAX (that's the German stock market), have on currencies.
In theory, whenever the DAX rises, we can probably expect the euro to rise as well, as investors need to get a hand on some euros.
While the correlation is imperfect, statistics show that it still holds pretty accurately.
We here at BabyPips.com did a little research of our own and found out that EUR/JPY seems to be highly correlated with stock markets across the globe. You should know that the yen, along with the U.S. dollar, are considered to be safe havens amongst the major currencies.
Whenever confidence in the global economy is down and traders are fearful, we typically see traders take their money out of the stock markets, which leads to a drop in the values of the DAX and S&P500.
With money flowing out of these markets, we usually see EUR/JPY fall as traders run for cover. On the flip side, when the sun is bright and risk appetite is rampant, investors pour their money into stock markets, which in turns leads to a rise in the EUR/JPY.
Take a look at charts below to see the correlation between the EUR/JPY and the DAX and S&P500.
Positive correlation of S&P 500 and EUR/JPY
Positive correlation of DAX and EUR/JPY
The correlation seems to have held well this past decade, as EUR/JPY and both indexes rose steadily together, until 2008, when we were hit with the financial crisis. In late 2007, EUR/JPY had hit its peak, and so did the stock indexes.


Read more: http://www.babypips.com/school/eurjpy-your-very-own-barometer_of_risk.html#ixzz20p76srTv

Read more: http://www.babypips.com/school/intermarket-analysis-cheat-sheet.html#ixzz20p65Xnzs

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