The Setup
For longs, many people like to use
moving averages to identify trend and that’s ok, you can try a 20 period moving
average. When it’s sloping up, you’re in an uptrend. Next, identify the origin
of a strong move in price and draw two lines around the price action to create
a demand zone (area “A”). An ideal pattern is the “Drop-Base-Rally”. In other
words, area “A” should be preceded by a decline in price. Then, make sure there
is a significant profit margin (profit target). This would be the distance from
area “A” to “B”, the highest high of the initial breakout before price returns
to “A” at “C”.
The Action
Buy at “C” when price touches the
top black line and place your protective sell stop just below the lower black
line. Adjust your position size so that you are not risking more than you are
willing to lose. Place your profit target based on the high of the initial
breakout “B” which in this case would have you selling for a profit at “D”.
The proper breakout entry works in
any market and any time frame. A key component to making these work that is beyond
the scope of this article is this: When taking any buy or sell entries in
markets, make sure you know exactly where price is with regard to the larger
time frame supply / demand curve. Whether you trade Stocks, Futures, Forex, and
Options, understand that behind all the candles on your screen in all these
markets are people and their emotions. Most will fall for the emotional trading
traps set by fear and greed, others get paid from this type of novice thinking.
Extracted from FXtechstrategy
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